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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Loser12surfandturfBreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)48% (12–13, n=25)54% (225–189, n=414)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL-$272$9.4M$10.6M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994was PM monthly #326PM monthly #1was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)91% (148 of 163 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won71% of 14 at avg 52¢, ROI +28%—97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢7% (won 0% of 1)—10% (won 82% of 56)—
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 50% of 4)—36% (won 98% of 198)—
Entries 50–70¢57% (won 88% of 8)—35% (won 99% of 191)—
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)—19% (won 100% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLoser12surfandturfBreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.7K—Yes $6.4K