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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Loyalty-Crash00gringo00beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)60% (32–21, n=53)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$85K$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus73% (19 of 26 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won65% of 63 at avg 53¢, ROI +16%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 28% of 18)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 63% of 8)0%29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 75% of 12)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 88% of 25)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.