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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph006770x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
| Michael-The-Taxiarch | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (49–41, n=90) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $29K | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #503 | PM monthly #12 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 70% (28 of 40 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 93 at avg 42¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 47% (won 7% of 44) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 50% of 12) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 70% of 10) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 96% of 27) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Michael-The-Taxiarch | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | No $943 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.2K | Yes $500K | — |