Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankMichael-The-Taxiarchndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)58% (57–41, n=98)63% (1096–631, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$48K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #524PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)54% (7 of 13 open)72% (71 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%48% of 98 at avg 45¢, ROI +2%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)45% (won 7% of 44)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)12% (won 50% of 12)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)10% (won 70% of 10)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 97% of 32)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankMichael-The-Taxiarchndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K