← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NOO-Yes | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 38% (5–8, n=13) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | -$14K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #417 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 52% (34 of 65 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 12 at avg 38¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 50% of 2) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 67% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NOO-Yes | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Lightning vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $507 | Lightning $89 |