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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NS13 | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (368–447, n=815) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 61% (395–248, n=643) |
| Consensus PnL | $314K | -$77K | -$352K | $194K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #105 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (11 of 13 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −3 pts, n=191 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 804 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 10% of 251) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 40% of 220) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 68% of 244) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 87% of 89) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NS13 | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Magic same side · consensus Magic | Magic $31K | — | Magic $19K | — |