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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Nathan8s | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 17% (4–19, n=23) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) |
| Consensus PnL | $45K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #963 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (128 of 144 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Tennis −15 pts, n=23 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 10% of 29 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 55% (won 0% of 16) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 45% (won 23% of 13) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Nathan8s | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Tatiana Prozorova opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu | Tatiana Prozorova $13K | — | — | Claire Liu $55K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter same side · consensus Katie Boulter | Katie Boulter $51K | — | — | Katie Boulter $35K |