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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
OddstormBreakTheBank0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188CORGII
Record (consensus markets)49% (5754–5977, n=11731)45% (542–652, n=1194)46% (131–154, n=285)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL$23K$10.6M$19.1M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #921PM monthly #1was PM monthly #715PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus53% (9 of 17 open)88% (147 of 168 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=743—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won49% of 7560 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 19% of 1334)10% (won 82% of 56)0% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 43% of 2720)36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 46% of 565)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 57% of 2376)35% (won 99% of 191)57% (won 51% of 766)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 81% of 1130)19% (won 100% of 107)0% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.