Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Oddstormjoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1
Record (consensus markets)49% (5754–5977, n=11731)53% (10–9, n=19)61% (495–321, n=816)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$18K$5.6M-$352K$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #921PM monthly #2was PM monthly #51PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus54% (7 of 13 open)no open consensus position69% (9 of 13 open)68% (49 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=743—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won49% of 7560 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 19% of 1334)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 43% of 2720)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 57% of 2376)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 81% of 1130)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketOddstormjoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1
Wizards vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Wizards $450—Magic $19K—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $7.4KNo $146
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus Yes
No $26——No $111K
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
Yes $87——Yes $2.7K