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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
P1kasosainttroplayRN10x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)69% (625–278, n=903)71% (10–4, n=14)47% (13853–15337, n=29190)41% (1101–1609, n=2710)
Consensus PnL$100K$4.4M$13.4M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #665was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #410
Sides with the consensus69% (9 of 13 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=69———
Settled positions, side won74% of 763 at avg 69¢, ROI +2%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 7% of 133)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)—
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 57% of 77)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5518)—
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 72% of 114)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8928)—
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 97% of 439)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketP1kasosainttroplayRN10x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K——Yes $2.0K