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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Parkan3120xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)77% (344–105, n=449)61% (495–321, n=816)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$20K-$352K$5.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997was PM monthly #51was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)75% (6 of 8 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNHL −7 pts, n=12Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won54% of 239 at avg 40¢, ROI +12%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 30% of 80)15% (won 29% of 125)3% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 50% of 78)34% (won 58% of 283)30% (won 57% of 63)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 76% of 55)43% (won 69% of 354)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 88% of 26)7% (won 80% of 60)14% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.