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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Parkan312joseph00677BreakTheBank0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)77% (344–105, n=449)53% (10–9, n=19)45% (542–652, n=1194)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$20K$5.6M$11.0M-$6.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #2PM monthly #1was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position91% (150 of 165 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNHL −7 pts, n=12——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won54% of 239 at avg 40¢, ROI +12%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 30% of 80)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 82% of 56)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 50% of 78)6% (won 0% of 1)36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 76% of 55)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 191)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 88% of 26)18% (won 67% of 3)19% (won 100% of 107)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.