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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Poligarch0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4ndb1
Record (consensus markets)53% (2828–2486, n=5314)61% (495–321, n=816)68% (43–20, n=63)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL-$34K-$352K$5.8M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #900was PM monthly #51was PM monthly #24PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus50% (27 of 54 open)72% (13 of 18 open)100% (1 of 1 open)68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicWeather −9 pts, n=1650Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NBA −6 pts, n=93NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won44% of 1750 at avg 53¢, ROI −5%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 1% of 477)15% (won 29% of 125)3% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 11% of 273)34% (won 58% of 283)30% (won 57% of 63)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 41% of 360)43% (won 69% of 354)54% (won 51% of 115)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up37% (won 92% of 640)7% (won 80% of 60)14% (won 86% of 29)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketPoligarch0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4ndb1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.4K—No $146