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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1sainttroplayVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)no settled market40% (207–305, n=512)
Consensus PnL$14.8M—$117K
Tracked asPM monthly #23 + pinned—PM monthly #119
Sides with the consensus43% (12 of 28 open)no open consensus position62% (13 of 21 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Mentions −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2606)—61% (won 1% of 161)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5665)—3% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9185)—4% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 8345)—32% (won 96% of 85)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.