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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1sainttroplayVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)no settled market45% (264–329, n=593)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$14.8M—$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #24 + pinned—PM monthly #115
Sides with the consensus64% (258 of 406 open)66% (161 of 244 open)no open consensus position63% (25 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Mentions −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)—61% (won 1% of 161)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)—3% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)—4% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)—32% (won 96% of 85)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

75 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1sainttroplayVale54holi
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.5K——
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $596Carole Monnet $9.0K——
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $484Under $7.1K——
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901
Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9KOlympiakós SFP $32——
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $104No $5.8K——
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.5KYes $2.9K——
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $3.1KMarina Bassols Ribera $1.9K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $3.4KTomas Machac $1.2K——
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.8KOver $14——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4KOver $2.4K——
FC Porto leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.7KYes $550——
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $118No $3.0K——
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $163No $2.9K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317No $2.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $35——
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.0KYes $1.3K——
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.4KEduardo Ribeiro $645——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.6KUnder $22——
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $78No $1.4K——
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $370Under $1.0K——
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $215Over $1.2K——
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Leyre Romero Gormaz $10Solana Sierra $1.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1KYes $7——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486No $529——
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213No $677——
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $10Over $670——
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $237Hawks $430——
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $325Thunder $273——
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $404Over $5——
W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann
opposite sides · consensus Oceane Dodin
Oceane Dodin $281Eva Bennemann $99——
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
Anna Siskova $274Marie Weckerle $55——
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $202Grizzlies $119——
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
Mauricio Echazu $59Maxwell McKennon $244——
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $236No $27——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $125Trail Blazers $99——
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $116Over $86——
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $21No $132——
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Hawks $30Wizards $94——
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $50Yes $63——
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $111——
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $73No $28——
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $26No $15——
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $100KNo $4.3K——
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $77KYes $21K——
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus SK Slavia Praha
SK Slavia Praha $31KSK Slavia Praha $331——
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $27KNo $907——
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini $7.9KMatteo Berrettini $14K——
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
Olympiakós SFP $21KOlympiakós SFP $109——
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $15KNo $5.3K——
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12KUnder $4.0K——