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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RebornAthenaRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)55% (2321–1926, n=4247)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$1.3M$13.4M$19.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +44 pts n=958, ROI +41%
  • NBA +45 pts n=110, ROI +43%
  • Crypto +43 pts n=323, ROI +38%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won94% of 2627 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 88% of 58)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 92% of 949)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 95% of 1516)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 98% of 104)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.