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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RollAwayTheDewsainttroplayBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)53% (405–362, n=767)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL-$38K$4.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #738was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)no open consensus position74% (73 of 99 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −3 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won75% of 541 at avg 55¢, ROI +13%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 61% of 23)0%10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 68% of 181)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 75% of 243)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 90% of 94)0%20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRollAwayTheDewsainttroplayBreakTheBank00gringo00
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $1.4K—Chiefs $1.2K—