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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SadSquid54333BreakTheBankRN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)60% (196–132, n=328)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$51K$10.6M$13.4M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #296PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position91% (148 of 163 open)67% (2 of 3 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 199 at avg 63¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢2% (won 75% of 4)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)—
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 100% of 27)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)—
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 96% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 100% of 53)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.