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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SadSquid54333beachboy4sainttroplayjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)60% (196–132, n=328)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$51K$5.8M$4.4M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #296was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won97% of 199 at avg 63¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%—
Entries under 30¢2% (won 75% of 4)3% (won 17% of 6)0%—
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 100% of 27)29% (won 56% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)—
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 96% of 115)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 100% of 53)14% (won 86% of 29)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.