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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SchruteBucks | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1246–778, n=2024) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #672 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 88% (133 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 764 at avg 72¢, ROI +8% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 93% of 27) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 97% of 94) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 99% of 184) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 100% of 459) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SchruteBucks | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Daniel Michalski vs August Holmgren opposite sides · consensus August Holmgren | Daniel Michalski $5 | — | August Holmgren $2.6K | — |