Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlickRick123RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)46% (3121–3625, n=6746)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (495–321, n=816)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$18K$14.8M-$352K$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #985PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)56% (27 of 48 open)72% (13 of 18 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEsports −4 pts, n=563—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won48% of 2573 at avg 45¢, ROI +4%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 14% of 704)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 744)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 69% of 716)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 88% of 409)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlickRick123RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3Yes $3.7K——
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $129Over $2.6K—
Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
Ryo Tabata $7.6KRyo Tabata $20K——
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $869Over $1.5K——
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $891Over $184——