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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SulkingCrypto | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 10% (110–969, n=1079) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$5.1K | $14.8M | -$352K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #51 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (21 of 43 open) | 56% (27 of 48 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −14 pts, n=23 | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 8% of 199 at avg 13¢, ROI −4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 88% (won 4% of 175) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 20% of 10) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 50% of 8) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 33% of 6) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SulkingCrypto | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $129 | Over $2.6K | — |