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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SulkingCrypto | beachboy4 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 10% (110–969, n=1079) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | -$5.1K | $5.8M | -$6.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #882 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (21 of 43 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (48 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −14 pts, n=23 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 8% of 199 at avg 13¢, ROI −4% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 88% (won 4% of 175) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 20% of 10) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 50% of 8) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 33% of 6) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SulkingCrypto | beachboy4 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | — | No $670 |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? same side · consensus Yes | No $7 | — | — | No $8 |