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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TexasOx | RN1 | BreakTheBank | pleaseplease123 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 0% (0–1, n=1) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 51% (196–192, n=388) |
| Consensus PnL | -$12K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #838 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 90% (147 of 163 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TexasOx | RN1 | BreakTheBank | pleaseplease123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | Yes $31K | — |