Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TheOneto3RN1sainttroplay0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)51% (360–340, n=700)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)71% (10–4, n=14)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$255K$13.4M$4.4M$19.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #865PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)44% (4 of 9 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −13 pts, n=117——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won51% of 781 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 20% of 69)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 49% of 312)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 52% of 308)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 76% of 92)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.