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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TheVeteran77BreakTheBankCORGII0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)48% (226–241, n=467)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (395–248, n=643)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL-$230K$11.0M$194K-$6.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #661PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (134 of 156 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +13 pts n=18, ROI +8%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=473——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won49% of 499 at avg 51¢, ROI 0%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 25% of 20)10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢48% (won 37% of 240)36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 62% of 198)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 71% of 41)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.