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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TrueDignity | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (52–55, n=107) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $22K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 76 at avg 37¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 19% of 37) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 73% of 15) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 92% of 12) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 100% of 12) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TrueDignity | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $10 | — | — | Yes $18K |