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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
UbuntuTradingCORGII
Record (consensus markets)48% (1752–1897, n=3649)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$117K$4.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus48% (34 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicTech −2 pts, n=195—
Settled positions, side won35% of 3786 at avg 35¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢64% (won 6% of 2407)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 37% of 153)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 68% of 159)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 96% of 1067)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.