← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| WarriorH | beachboy4 | surfandturf | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 11% (427–3397, n=3824) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $174K | $5.8M | $4.1M | $19.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #71 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (168 of 207 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −13 pts, n=147 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 11% of 2095 at avg 17¢, ROI −4% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 83% (won 1% of 1737) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 36% of 87) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 51% of 87) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 83% of 184) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | WarriorH | beachboy4 | surfandturf | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | Yes $2.3K | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | — | No $2.7K | — |