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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Zzzz870xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (2790–2855, n=5645)61% (495–321, n=816)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)
Consensus PnL-$1.7M-$352K$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #159was PM monthly #51PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)72% (13 of 18 open)no open consensus position56% (27 of 48 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMLB ±0 pts, n=438Soccer ±0 pts, n=115——
Settled positions, side won50% of 5302 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 12% of 1416)15% (won 29% of 125)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 45% of 1100)34% (won 58% of 283)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 63% of 1633)43% (won 69% of 354)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 84% of 1153)7% (won 80% of 60)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketZzzz870xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677RN1
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.6K—Under $129