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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
aaabbbsainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)61% (449–282, n=731)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$210K$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #766was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)no open consensus position54% (71 of 132 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +30 pts n=190, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=84, ROI +13%
  • NFL +17 pts n=189, ROI +3%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won74% of 652 at avg 55¢, ROI +5%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 26% of 123)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 59% of 111)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 186)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 93% of 232)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketaaabbbsainttroplayRN1
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $380—Bills $28K