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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| afraz | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (241–150, n=391) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (987–572, n=1559) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.2K | $7.9M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #522 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #103 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 75% (101 of 135 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Tennis −9 pts, n=102 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 355 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 22% of 36) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 40% of 108) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 62% of 135) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 74% of 76) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | afraz | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $278K | Yes $11K |