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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alpheclabs2 | RN1 | ndb1 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (66–86, n=152) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $30K | $14.8M | $4.1M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #234 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 52% (29 of 56 open) | 68% (49 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 122 at avg 40¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 13% of 48) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 52% of 31) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 62% of 26) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 94% of 17) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alpheclabs2 | RN1 | ndb1 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4 | Under $4.3K | — | — |