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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alvahunter | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (24–45, n=69) | no settled market | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.6K | — | $7.9M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #816 | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (52 of 75 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 28 at avg 42¢, ROI +53% | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 36% (won 80% of 10) | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 86% of 7) | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 90% of 10) | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alvahunter | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $409K | No $337K |