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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
analdesutructorFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)80% (206–53, n=259)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL-$60K$3.6M$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #595PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)76% (104 of 136 open)no open consensus position73% (54 of 74 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +47 pts n=30, ROI +49%
  • Esports +48 pts n=14, ROI +46%
  • MLB +33 pts n=55, ROI +32%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won99% of 215 at avg 62¢, ROI +38%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 12)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 97% of 64)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 50)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 89)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketanaldesutructorFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $769Warriors $2.6K——