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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
anoin12300gringo00CORGII
Record (consensus markets)50% (290–293, n=583)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$1.3M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #18was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus52% (122 of 234 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won92% of 480 at avg 80¢, ROI −12%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 63% of 40)0%9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 83% of 23)0%56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 76% of 49)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 98% of 368)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.