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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
babybellsclassifiedfantasy7788Wiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)32% (6–13, n=19)100% (1–0, n=1)100% (2–0, n=2)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$3.7K$1.1K$245K-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #921PM monthly #338PM monthly #72PM monthly #226
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)43% (3 of 7 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections −2 pts, n=101——
Settled positions, side won—51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—46% (won 4% of 152)0%6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 47% of 15)50% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 78% of 23)50% (won 100% of 1)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 98% of 144)0%13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.