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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ballenaBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)33% (5–10, n=15)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$57K$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #956PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)72% (79 of 110 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won63% of 8 at avg 42¢, ROI +8%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 0% of 3)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 1)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 4)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketballenaBreakTheBank
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200KYes $258K