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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ballena | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (5–10, n=15) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #956 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 8 at avg 42¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 0% of 3) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 100% of 1) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 4) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ballena | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $209K | Yes $280K | — |