← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (418–429, n=847) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | -$402K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #386 | PM monthly #95 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 72% (55 of 76 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=156 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 844 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 46% of 329) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 374) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $43 | Yes $22 |