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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| bands1 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (418–429, n=847) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | -$402K | $7.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #363 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #95 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 81% (22 of 27 open) | 71% (55 of 78 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=156 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 844 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 46% of 329) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 374) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $43 | — | Yes $22 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | No $335K |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Kings $4.4K | Kings $134K | — |