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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bands1Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)50% (423–431, n=854)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL-$395K$3.7M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #354PM monthly #13PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus60% (9 of 15 open)68% (216 of 316 open)71% (58 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=159Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 20% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 47% of 331)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 51% of 375)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 79% of 81)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbands1Flaznorpndb1
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KUnder $30K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
Hull City AFC $3Arsenal FC $1.0K—
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $44—Yes $29
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $595Under $6.6K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
—Hull City AFC $2.4KHull City AFC $2.9K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.5KNo $328—