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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bawsCORGIIbeachboy4sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)52% (33–31, n=64)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$24K$4.5M$5.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #188PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)25% (1 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=11, ROI +62%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won97% of 30 at avg 44¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 100% of 5)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢47% (won 93% of 14)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 9)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 2)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.