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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankndb1zerone777
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (555–663, n=1218)65% (882–468, n=1350)42% (399–555, n=954)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$4.2M$163K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #143PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (19 of 30 open)78% (25 of 32 open)70% (21 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139Mentions −2 pts, n=47
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 15% of 168)56% (won 1% of 189)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 39% of 256)2% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 58% of 314)5% (won 61% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 550)36% (won 97% of 120)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.