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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorphaveagooddayjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6569–6087, n=12656)35% (1623–2983, n=4606)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$22K$5.3M
Tracked as—PM monthly #10PM monthly #119PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (97 of 135 open)85% (111 of 131 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −2 pts, n=690—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%55% of 3042 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)39% (won 1% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)3% (won 42% of 106)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)6% (won 62% of 169)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)52% (won 96% of 1585)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.