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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677mildwindow27
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6608–6142, n=12750)45% (10–12, n=22)36% (5223–9117, n=14340)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$5.3M-$140K
Tracked as—PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #323
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (84 of 111 open)no open consensus position78% (74 of 95 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Weather −4 pts, n=1555
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%37% of 5848 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)59% (won 1% of 3428)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 42% of 132)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)4% (won 55% of 222)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 96% of 2066)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.