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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpndb1pelik
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6434–6029, n=12463)63% (993–578, n=1571)99% (4863–14, n=4877)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$4.8M$84K
Tracked as—PM monthly #11PM monthly #97PM monthly #431
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (198 of 270 open)73% (53 of 73 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Finance +5 pts n=25, ROI +1%
  • NBA +3 pts n=22, ROI 0%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 3627 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)0%
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)0% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)100% (won 100% of 3624)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpndb1pelik
RS Berkane leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8—No $1.2K