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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpndb1zerone777
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6520–6024, n=12544)63% (990–573, n=1563)28% (451–1173, n=1624)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$3.2M$36K
Tracked as—PM monthly #23PM monthly #105PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (302 of 429 open)74% (81 of 110 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139Elections ±0 pts, n=212
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%43% of 609 at avg 44¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)50% (won 2% of 307)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)5% (won 29% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)7% (won 64% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)37% (won 96% of 226)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.