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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Likaseentndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market36% (164–297, n=461)66% (870–454, n=1324)
Consensus PnL—$113K$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #114PM monthly #12
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (21 of 36 open)69% (25 of 36 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=23NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won—41% of 331 at avg 42¢, ROI +1%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—56% (won 1% of 187)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 14% of 7)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 70% of 10)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 98% of 127)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Likaseentndb1
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $242K
2026 Balance of Power: Other
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1Yes $2.1K