Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677RN1stepanka1234
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)76% (51–16, n=67)
Consensus PnL—$5.6M$14.8M$28K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #740
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (17 of 34 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 51 at avg 78¢, ROI +20%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)0%
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)22% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)78% (won 100% of 40)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4joseph00677RN1stepanka1234
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
same side · consensus Katie Swan
——Katie Swan $281Katie Swan $8.7K